Tag: student debt

Ep. 531 – The Bubble Buys A Bubble

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 531 - The Bubble Buys A Bubble
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Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, announced today that the company purchased $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin in attempts to diversify their cash position. It was also noted that the company would be open to purchasing gold bullion and gold ETFs. This may be all fine and well as the company is at liberty to invest and diversify as they see fit, however, it is kind of ironic because in the view of The Kapital News, both Tesla and Bitcoin will be known as the posterchildren of this bubble era when the music stops playing. What is concerning, is the fact that Elon Musk announced such measures over social media as well, that caused a frenzy of buying for Bitcoin, which hit an all-time high today above $46,000 per coin. Mr. Musk knows very well that when he says something on any media platform that it will have an impact on markets, especially with respect to this topic. Knowing he has this power has him straddling a very thin line that neighbors market manipulation. The SEC may be well served in looking further into this matter. If the layman had this type of ability to sway markets, the SEC would probably already have him in handcuffs. Talk about little guys versus the big guy…

The Congressional Budget Office, (CBO), came out today with their analysis on the proposed minimum wage hike to $15 per hour, and concluded that while 900k may be lifted out of poverty, 1.4 million job losses will occur. At a time of chronic and structural unemployment and underemployment, the Biden administration and Democrats believe now is the time for such a policy. Are they trying to be stupid? There should not even be a minimum wage. This is to be negotiated between employee and employer based off of experience and responsibilities of the role, and the supply and demand of labor thereof. The government has no business in this transaction, just like they have no business in most other areas across the economy and society. The unfortunate thing in all of this is that the very people who think they will benefit the most from such an increase in the minimum wage, will be the ones most adversely impacted. They will be replaced by touchscreen monitors, robots, and other technologies. They will have their hours reduced so that employers’ operational costs do not balloon. This could have the impact of going from full-time to part-time, which may impact health insurance and/or retirement benefits. Of course, none of this is mentioned by the proponents of such a policy. In their view, it must be better to let the people find out the hard-way, even though the Democrats pretend to be the party that cares for the little guy.

Other items discussed during today’s podcast pertain to the potential executive action to forgive student debt. This may be as high as $50,000 per student. This is a travesty and the President does not have the authority to legislate via fiat, a.k.a Executive Order. Such an act, whether at the executive or legislative level is wrong. It is immoral, unethical, and un-American. What of those people who sacrificed to pay their loans off? What of those people who never went to college, never wanted to attend, and never will? Why should all of these people now bear the costs of paying off these debts of others? The argument is that if such debt is “forgiven,” then the money used for debt payments can now be used to spend into the economy. If this argument were true, then why stop at student debt? What about mortgages, auto loans, credit cards, personal loans, and others? Such forgiveness would add nearly $1.7 trillion to our national debt instantly, which is already nearing the $28 trillion level. Letting everyone else pay for the debts and/or mistakes of others is no way to run a government or society. The moral hazard that this creates will last generations. And who does the government pick and choose as the “winners” of such a policy? Only for those with outstanding debts or also those who will be entering college this year, next year, for how many years forward or otherwise?

And lastly, the second impeachment trial of former President, Donald J. Trump commences tomorrow. This is a constitutional act, period. Whether or not you believe this issue is an impeachable offense is another matter entirely, but the Congress has the authority to do so. Otherwise, there would be a loophole within the constitution that would allow for a President on his last day(s) in office to commit an impeachable offense and suffer no consequence for such action(s). Nonetheless, the trial will resemble another circus – a circus that never seems to leave town. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Tesla #Bitcoin #Markets #Fraud #Jobs #USA #Liberty #Bailouts #Bubbles #Recession #Depression #EndTheFed #Debt #Spending #bananarepublic #Inflation #Gold #Silver #FireCongress

Ep. 453 – Presidential Showdown – Trump v. Biden

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 453 - Presidential Showdown - Trump v. Biden
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Tomorrow will be the first Presidential debate between President Trump and former VP Joe Biden – taking place in Cleveland, Ohio and hosted by Fox News anchor, Chris Wallace. During today’s podcast we discuss the potential outcomes and various scenarios of tomorrow evening’s event. However, what we stress the most during our conversation today are the structural issues facing the country, and if any of these topics will be addressed. We imagine that a couple will be noted, but we’re not holding our breath that brilliant policies will be mentioned either. In fact, we believe that some of the biggest issues will not even me mentioned – such as the Federal Reserve and their policies; the bankruptcies and insolvencies that are waiting in the wings; the national debt – but more specifically, the question of, “do debts and deficits matter, and if yes, why, and if not, why not?” Are the candidates concerned about inflation, stagflation, or hyperinflation? Are they concerned with a stock market at record levels, with respect to valuations? Are they concerned with the solvency of the US Treasury? Or what about the millions of evictions that are likely coming down the pike once the moratoriums are lifted? These are some basic questions and concepts that need to be addressed and taken seriously, but something tells us that they’re barely going to receive a mention and even if they are – the candidates will not likely address them head-on. This is a failure of leadership – but with all this said, The Kapital News hopes to be proven wrong – that these questions will be asked and that they will be thoughtfully and thoroughly answered. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #RNC #DNC #Trump #Biden #Election #USA #Debt #Inflation #Gold #Bailouts #Liberty #Revolution #BananaRepublic #EndTheFed

Ep. 436 – What’s The End Game?

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 436 - What's The End Game?
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A national eviction moratorium has been put into place until the end of the year. This is from the Trump Administration using a law that grants power to the CDC to make such a decision. This is somewhat of a head-scratcher as the Trump Administration repeatedly says that we’re in a V-shaped recovery and that everything is fine – then why the nationwide moratorium? Also, what happens on 1 January 2021 when the moratorium is lifted? What happens with all the back rents due? How do landlords navigate this terrain? Also fitting with today’s show title, are the questions around taxation, the Federal Reserve, money printing, the debts and deficits, student loans, shortfalls in state and local governments, and the under-funding of pensions across this country, amongst others. One unsustainable issue and item after the next and not a peep from a policymaker as to how this is all going to unfold or how this game is going to end. Can you say defaults? Can you say insolvencies? Can you say inflation? Who gets to pay for all of this because there is no free lunch? We’re looking for some truth and leadership and it’s nowhere to be found. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Inflation #Gold #BananaRepublic #Jobs #Bailouts #Silver #EndTheFed #Recession #Depression

Ep. 429 – Weekly Wrap Up

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 429 - Weekly Wrap Up
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In this week’s weekly wrap up we discuss the Democratic National Convention, our thoughts on the upcoming Republican National Convention, and continue our commentary on the economic data and structural issues facing this country. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #DNC #RNC #Economy #Gold #Silver #BananaRepublic #EndTheFed #Liberty #Revolution #Protests #USA # 2020 #Recession #Depression #Congress #Debt

Ep. 403 – Next Stop Insolvency

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 403 - Next Stop Insolvency
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Despite all of the begging, borrowing, spending, and printing, by governments and central banks the world over, the next step of this process will be a wave of insolvencies.

The Kapital News has been saying for over a year and well before the onset of COVID-19 that another real estate downfall was in the works. We noted that it would likely be in the form of a top-down, bottom-up squeeze. Well it appears that this scenario may well be under way. The top-down takes the form of commercial and high-end residential real estate. We don’t have to look much further than the tragic number(s) of retail stores that are closing their doors for good to grasp this concept. We can also look at college towns that may suffer as well if students do not go back during the fall semester. How many businesses and homes/apartments are dependent on these students for income? These establishments have loans and mortgages that do not go away simply because the students don’t show up. So how are these loans to be repaid? And what if there is a rush out of big cities to the suburbs – same story. Starting to get the picture?

Now take this in aggregate and it starts to paint a very bleak picture. And unfortunately, this is the necessary process that has to unfold. There are too many zombie companies in existence being propped up by easy money and fiscal spending. These businesses need to restructure or liquidate and allow for new and better management to take the helm. In the end, this process is better for the economy and why it’s called a “correction.” So, whether it’s retail, food service, hotels and travel, construction, manufacturing, and so much more, downsizing in one form or another is coming – the question is when and to what degree? Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #BananaRepublic #EndTheFed #Bailouts #Depression #Recession #USA #Gold #Silver #Liberty

Ep. 401 – How Much More?

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 401 - How Much More?
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How many more trillions of dollars are going to be printed, borrowed, and spent before the people of this country wake up to this fraud? Stealing from current and future generations in an attempt to keep this corrupt system afloat is their (the Fed and politicians) goal and they care not about the price nor the consequences. They’ll do whatever it takes to not have to look the American people in the eye and tell the truth – the truth that our system is unsustainable. The truth that our system is corrupt. The truth that our system is broken. No, they would rather just turn the printing press on and print money in attempt to solve all of our problems as if we’re some sort of banana republic – because we are! We just celebrated the birthday and founding of this nation – July 4, 1776. Look at us now and how far we have fallen from our founding principles. How much longer will the American people continue to play the fool? How much more needs to be stolen through taxation and inflation until the American people demand real change? How much longer until their is another revolution? Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #BananaRepublic #Debt #Bailouts #Revolution #Economy #USA #1776 #Depression #Recession #Gold #EndTheFed

Ep. 398 – Second Wave of Insanity

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 398 - Second Wave of Insanity
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Some 46 Americans losing their jobs over the last few months, global protests, riots and protests here in the US, rising geopolitical tensions around the world, and stocks keep going up. However, let Apple, Inc., announce that they’ll be closing some stores across the country due to an increase in COVID-19 cases in several states, and bam! – markets sell-off midday. If that doesn’t tell you what’s going on, then nothing will. Let us not worry ourselves with the real structural issues that are truly affecting people – no, let us instead pay attention to what some materialistic company announces. This is just another example of the insanity that is now the globe and the United States of America. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Jobs #Bailouts #EndTheFed #Debt #USA #BananaRepublic #Gold #Silver

Ep. 395 – More Funny Money, Please

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 395 - More Funny Money, Please
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Stocks were selling off this morning, but given all of the recent backstops and the de facto “law(s)” in place that forbid stocks from going down, they “miraculously” closed in the green today. Of course the reason for the major turnaround from deep red to light green, was because the Federal Reserve issued a statement indicating that they will be purchasing corporate bonds on the secondary market. This is no surprise as this facility was announced nearly three months ago during the depths of the massive market sell-off. The total could potentially hit $250 billion for this facility alone. This pertains to the secondary corporate debt market. There is also a facility that pertains to the primary market, meaning the Fed may/will purchase corporate bonds directly from selected corporations – of course at subsidized lower rates. Lower rates than what a true functioning market would demand. So-long free market capitalism and hello banana republic.

The US national debt has officially topped $26 trillion – so congratulations America – you’re broke. And to add insult to injury, the White House is now presumably on board for another major spending bill that may cost up to $2-3 trillion. More trillions that we do not have. At this juncture in the current fiscal year, we’ve already spent $7 trillion – this is more than double the amount of total tax receipts! And there’s more spending on the way. Rome is burning and nobody seems to care because stocks keep going up. Markets are lost and unfortunately, so is any semblance of morality. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Depression #Bailouts #Debt #USA #Liberty #Revolution #Protests #Recession #Peace #EndTheFed

Ep. 392 – Recession: It’s Official

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 392 - Recession: It's Official
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Today, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), announced that the United States economy has officially entered recession. The monthly peak occurred in February 2020, while the quarterly peak occurred in Q4 2019. They noted that this was the longest business cycle expansion in US history, lasting 128 months. It surpassed the previous record of 120 months that was set from March 1991 to March 2001. Records go back to 1854.

This should come as no surprise to this audience, or anyone paying attention to what has been going on – especially as it relates to the pandemic of COVID-19. However, as we have be saying here at The Kapital News for some time, the fundamentals of the economy were starting to crack throughout late 2018 and 2019. We posit that even without a global pandemic, 2020 was likely to be the year that a recession would be officially scored. Check out our videos on this topic.

It must also be understood that recessions are an opportunity for businesses and individuals to strengthen their balance sheets. To deleverage. To save. And to invest prudently for the longer-term. Also, during these times, weaker companies are to go through bankruptcy, potentially emerge leaner and stronger, or perhaps go out of business and liquidate. While this may be a painful experience for these respective companies and their employees and other stakeholders, it is nevertheless the right course of action – stronger companies need to survive and thrive, and weaker companies need to cease operations. This natural ebb and flow of the business cycle is a healthy process and should result with better outcomes for businesses, governments, employees, and consumers. Unfortunately, what we’re witnessing is an attempt by policymakers (government and central banks), to keep everything “afloat.” This will prove disastrous is due course.

Recessions and even depressions, are corrections – and corrections are healthy – despite how painful they might be. However, that pain can be quick or it can be prolonged. Given the policies thus far enacted and those likely to come are likely to turn this now official recession into another depression – perhaps the Greatest Depression. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Recession #Depression #NBER #USA #Gold #Peace #Debt #Bailouts #Protests #Jobs #EndTheFed

Ep. 379 – Fed Speak + Risks Ahead

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 379 - Fed Speak + Risks Ahead
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Jay Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, had another interview with 60 Minutes on CBS this weekend, and the conversation, unfortunately proved to be a waste of time. There were no difficult questions. It was basically a recap of the data that has been well published and discussed, combined with the Chairman’s rinse and repeat answers. We take the time during today’s podcast to discuss the interview and ask our own questions that we think should have been asked and answered. A sample of such questions pertains to which Americans are the Fed working for? Is there such a thing as a free lunch in the context of all this admitted money printing and fiscal spending? Are financial asset prices allowed to go down? This and many more provides some color for today’s discussion. Nonetheless, these are simple and basic questions to ask and 60 Minutes completely dropped the ball and did a major disservice for the American people.

Despite the Chairman mentioning data that is reminiscent of the Great Depression, he claims the US economy can bounce back by the end of the year. He also noted how he would like to see Congress “do more.” Whatever this means we are not entirely certain because the Federal government is broke. Powell continues with his claim that the Fed has much more ammunition and is ready to use it. And again there was no push back from 60 Minutes on highlighting any limitations to these policies. One key point that Powell mentioned was regarding the development of a vaccine as being one of the only solutions to solve this entire crisis. Well wouldn’t you know it, the very next day (today, Monday), there was a news headline that came out prior to market open in the US, from Moderna, a biotech company, announcing positive results with their vaccine. It was only a handful of people, but the markets do not care about the news – they just want the headlines. This is eerily similar to the Gilead Sciences headlines from only a couple of weeks ago where we witnessed comparable massive rallies on Wall Street – only later to reverse course. So there we have it, softball interviews and timely headlines to move markets higher – just another day in this financial world of Oz. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Jobs #Bailouts #EndTheFed #Gold #Silver #USA #Congress #Recession #Depression #Debt #Protests