Tag: Trust

Ep. 529 – Jobs Slide, Market Highs

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 529 - Jobs Slide, Market Highs
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While the initial jobless claims figure came in better than expected, 779,000 remains stubbornly high. This is still well north of the 650,000 figure seen during the depths of the GFC. Since the restrictions and lockdowns, we have not seen a weekly jobless claims figure below 700,000 – almost a full year ago. This has been truly destructive and devastating. For the week ending 16 January, 17.8 million Americans continue to claim some form of unemployment insurance.

Despite these dizzying jobless numbers, the stock market’s major indexes all hit new closing highs. This has become par for the course with a deteriorating jobs markets and yet equity markets continue to rally. Just last week, amidst the trading frenzy in a handful of stocks, we also witnessed the worst week for Wall Street since last October. Yet fast forward only one week, and we are at new all-time highs. The equity markets remain well disconnected from the underlying economy. This is a central banker’s world for the time being and liquidity rules the roost. There will come a day of reckoning due to market forces that are greater than all central banks and governments, and when this occurs, it will be truly devastating and historical.

Speaking of liquidity, the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet remains near all-time highs around $7.4 trillion. The Kapital News believes this figure will near or exceed $10 trillion by the end of this year. M1 money stock hit a new all-time high and now stands at $6.9 trillion, representing a week-over-week increase of nearly $150 billion. Perhaps this is the accelerant for the markets moving higher? M2 saw a slight reduction week-over-week, but remains well within all-time highs that were hit last week.

Lastly, government regulators joined forces today to discuss last week’s market mayhem in GameStop Corp, AMC Entertainment, and others to determine its cause and if necessary take action. What these actions will be is for anyone to guess, but it should be understood that the authorities are more likely than not going to implement some sort of action. Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, needed to receive a waiver from the Treasury Department’s ethics office, due to the fact that Secretary Yellen received $700,000 from hedge fund Citadel LLC, for a speaking engagement, following her departure from the Federal Reserve. Citadel is front and center with last week’s episode as they are one of the largest customers of online brokerage and trading app, Robinhood. This is the fox running the henhouse and then once the hens go missing, the fox and his buddies conduct the investigation. Our markets are broken and have been for quite awhile and the policy measures underway now and the regulations about to come down the pike, are not the solutions. In fact, they are a major part of the problem. The January jobs report will be released tomorrow morning. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Jobs #Markets #Debt #Inflation #Gold #Silver #USA #Liberty #Revolution #bananarepublic #EndTheFed #Recession #Depression #Bailouts #Protests #FireCongress

Ep. 450 – Government Out of Control

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 450 - Government Out of Control
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The Congressional Budget Office, CBO, is out with their projections for debt, deficit, spending, and revenue levels out to 2050 – and it ain’t a pretty picture. Even accounting for the effects for COVID-19 and the government response thereof, deficits are expected to increase to 5 percent of GDP by 2030 and to a whopping 13 percent by 2050. For context, the average deficit as a percentage of GDP has been 3 percent for the past 50 years. Following suit, the federal debt will increase to a record size of the economy when it hits 107 percent of GDP in 2023. This trend, unfortunately continues and hits a striking 195 percent of GDP by 2050. The CBO even remarks about the fragility of the economy and it will likely not be able to tolerate higher interest rates. Also noting that inflation may be on its way depending on how the government decides to “finance” the debt. And lastly, warning of a potential fiscal crisis and/or decline in the value of Treasury securities. All of the above points have been discussed at length by The Kapital News – most of which on a near daily basis. This is nothing short of a government that is out of control. And sadly, neither the President, nor VP Biden, are likely to comment on this fiscal disaster, nor address the structural issues that have led us to this destination, nor have a realistic plan to address it. The lack of honesty and leadership is a tragedy in and of itself.

In other news, the US dollar index is rallying, putting downward pressure on precious metals, some commodities, and likely stock prices as well. Is this a rush to “safety” in the US dollar? Or is liquidity starting to dry up once again, thus causing an increase in demand for US dollars in response to all of the US dollar denominated debt(s) that are outstanding and due? This is something worth monitoring. Interesting to note, however, is that the 10-year Treasury has barely moved and has been range-bound for quite awhile. Perhaps this fact throws water on the safe-haven play, as one would also expect to see falling yields in such a scenario. Today, Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, gave testimony on the state of the economy and the various efforts undertaken to revive the economy. Long-story short, they are requesting more spending and cannot figure out how to get money in the hands of small businesses, but have no problem giving it to major banks and large corporations – American or otherwise. And lastly, with rising COVID-19 cases in Europe, UK Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, made a public announcement urging Brits to social distancing and utilize other measures to get the numbers down, and should numbers continue to increase, then lock-down 2.0 is the likely outcome. Other countries may follow suit. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Jobs #Debt #Deficits #Recession #Depression #Inflation #USA #BananaRepublic #EndTheFed #Liberty #Revolution #Gold #Silver

Ep. 345 – 96-0, No Votes for America

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 345 - 96-0, No Votes for America
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What a sad time we live. A vote in the US Senate of 96-0 in favor of a $2T stimulus program and not a single vote against it. How is this to be paid for? Who is going to keep account for all of this money? Does anybody even care? Is there any thought as to what the consequences of this massive stimulus might mean on the other side? You know, like inflation or hyperinflation. And remember, this is just Congress’ portion. The Fed is printing money like it’s going out of style – because it is, and they’re at least throwing $4T back into the system. Also, this might just be the first stimulus. Yeah, you heard right – the first stimulus. There are politicians chomping at the bit to spend even more money that we don’t have and the first round just wrapped up. These people are sick.

Two other things to note. Firstly, a record 3.28 million Americans filed for unemployment claims for the week ending 21 March. This is an all-time record high (not a good thing). This was well past market expectations of 1 million. Nonetheless, the major indexes advanced 5-6% across the board. Secondly, today we’re calling for a peaceful revolution. You can contribute by writing your elected officials and voicing your disgust with their rhetoric and actions. Also, we are suggesting that you abandon your Republic and Democrat party affiliation. Become a Libertarian, an Independent, a Constitutionalist, what have you, or even go unaffiliated. Leave these parties, which is truly only one party, which is evidenced by what is taking place, and send the message that enough is enough. Restore our Constitution and free-market capitalism. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Revolution #Bailouts #Debt #USA #Constitution #Republic #Congress #Recession