Tag: Taiwan

Ep. 571 – Another 750,000 Jobs Bite The Dust

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 571 - Another 750,000 Jobs Bite The Dust
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Were we not just informed last Friday with the release of a “stellar” jobs report that the economy and namely the jobs market recovery was well underway? Well then how can we have another 744,000 Americans filing initial jobless claims for the week ending 3 April? Furthermore, you have to understand that this figure only represents regular state unemployment benefits. However, due to the pandemic and the subsequent lockdowns and restrictions, federal government programs were established to assist those who would not traditionally qualify for state benefits. So, taking into consideration such a program, known as Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, or PUA, we see that nearly 152,000 Americans filed an initial claim for the week ending 3 April. This means in aggregate that nearly 900,000 Americans filed an initial claim last week! Talk about recovery, as this is now over one full year since such draconian measures have been implemented. Last week’s figure of 719,000 was revised upward to now stand at 728,000 for the week ending 27 March. In aggregate, across all unemployment programs, some 18.2 million Americans continue to file claims. This is little changed from the prior week, and gives us a de facto unemployment rate of 12.7 percent. This is more than double the official unemployment rate, which now rests at 6.0 percent.

In other news, the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet sits at $7.708 trillion, which is a week-over-week increase of $20 billion and is just shy of hitting a new all-time high. The Fed remains committed to their QE program of purchasing at least $120 billion per month of US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. They continue to purchase MBS despite the fact that housing prices are at all-time highs and continue to climb, even as lumber and other construction materials prices continue their ascent.

And lastly, major geopolitical risks are taking shape around the globe. Whether it is increasing tensions between Russia and Ukraine, China, Taiwan, and the Philippines, Northern Ireland rioting against Brexit, how the US is involved in all of these areas, or leaders in Italy and Turkey doing some name-calling, one thing is certain, the globe is on very unstable ground. With so much taking place, it increases the likelihood of mistakes being made or it creates the perfect environment for a false-flag attack, which will then be used as justification for conflict or even war. And oh yes, the Middle East and Africa remain hot spots for conflict as well. And if enough people in poorer and middle-income nations does not constitute enough financial strife, add Canada to the mix. A new survey released indicates that 53 percent of Canadians are on the verge of insolvency as they are only $200 away from not being able to pay their monthly bills and debt obligations. This figure includes the 30 percent of Canadians who are already insolvent. And despite all of this or perhaps because of it, real estate prices in Canada continue to skyrocket, with many homes selling well above their asking price, site unseen! But remember, our fearless leaders inform us that there is NO inflation. What a joke. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Debt #Inflation #Geopolitics #Protests #Peace #USA #Liberty #Leadership #EndTheFed #bananarepublic #FireCongress #China #Russia #Germany #Ukraine #Taiwan #Philippines #Italy #Turkey #Canada

Ep. 382 – A Tale of Two Depressions

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 382 - A Tale of Two Depressions
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While the historians and economists have written plenty about The Great Depression of the 1930s, the pages mainly remain blank as to how this depression will unfold. However, if history is any guide, and it’s usually one of the best, then it may be prudent to study the 1920s-1930s in greater detail.

When reading Murray Rothbard’s, “A History of Money and Banking in the United States,” Rothbard paints a vivid picture of the players, the policies, and the outcomes that existed during this historic time. What is quite an eerie feeling as one reads his pages when covering The Great Depression, is how similar the policies of the late 1920s-1930s coincide with today’s policies from both the government and the Federal Reserve. Whether it’s central bankers standing at the ready to do whatever it takes and willing to expand the money supply, to Congress and The White House, strongly supporting public programs – the only thing(s) that change are the names and the size of the facilities – and sometimes even the names do not change.

A simple exercise can be conducted where one would simply exchange millions for billions and billions for trillions to see how similar The Great Depression is to the here and now. What may be even more disconcerting is that these very policies were the cause of The Great Depression. Had the “authorities” allowed the market to self-correct then what would have been experienced was a recession, perhaps a severe one, but no depression. And this is not simply an intellectual thought experiment. Rather, look at the recession of 1920-1921 and the policies undertaken by the government and the Federal Reserve. More correctly, it would note the lack of policies and intervention. This is because only a decade earlier, the American people, as well as their elected officials, understood the prudent tenants of free-market capitalism and simply allowed for the markets to self-correct. What occurred was a recession and not a depression. But a lot changed in ten short years and books are written not of the 1920-1921 recession, but they surely are for The Great Depression. Want to understand the present and future, then know the past. We discuss this during today’s podcast.

On the economic front, the Fed’s balance sheet now stands slightly above $7 trillion – representing a week-over-week increase of some $103 billion. With respect to initial jobless claims, an additional 2.4 million Americans filed for unemployment insurance during the prior week – taking the nine-week total to around 38.5 million Americans. With a workforce population of 206 million, this would represent about 18% of the workforce. These are staggering numbers that are consistent with April’s jobs report, and also consistent with an economic depression – and more is likely to follow. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Depression #Bailouts #Debt #USA #Recession #EndTheFed #Jobs #Gold