Tag: Leadership

Ep. 581 – Youth Revolts Coming

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 581 - Youth Revolts Coming
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Global protests and riots were occurring throughout 2019, which must not be forgotten. These movements were emblematic of a weakening world economy prior to the pandemic. The subsequent lockdowns and restrictions only made things worse. Yet due to the restrictions, these protests were muted. However, given the responses by federal governments and central banks, The Kapital News believes that the setting is ripe once again for such protests to take shape.

The country of Chile was on the list of countries protesting in 2019 and given the current environment, copper miners in the country are on strike. The people want the ability to tap into their pensions to act as a bridge to help support themselves and their families financially until conditions improve. They have done this twice before already and were looking for the opportunity to do so for a third time. However, the President of the country declined – thus the strikes. Chile is a major copper producing country and world markets have already been contending with higher commodity prices and supply chain disruptions. This action will only serve to aggravate current conditions, which was witnessed earlier today with the price of copper reaching near $4.50 per pound. And despite one large price increase after the next in one commodity after the next, we are routinely told that there is no inflation. What a joke! And this is one of the many reasons as to why protests will gain momentum.

Another source for youth frustration is in the real estate market. Take South Korea for example where young people in their 20s and 30s are all but priced out of the market and rents keep climbing higher as well. In the capital city of Seoul, apartment prices have risen nearly 58 percent since President Moon has been in office. The young people have recently shown their frustration in political elections, which led to the government implementing a program to cap rent increases at 5 percent. The Kapital News is against rent controls as they tend to backfire, as the caps are usually below where market forces would naturally clear, thus generating shortages, which in turn leads to higher prices. Nonetheless, several politicians are suspected to have front-run the legislation with respect to their investment properties. Meaning that before the 5 percent cap increase went into effect, these politicians increased their rents by as much as 14 percent! So much for looking out for their constituents. It appears that politicians are politicians whichever country you may find yourself.

Such actions undertaken prior to the pandemic, currently, and what will likely transpire in the future, will all serve as fuel to the growing fire that is youth revolts. Young people know all too well that it is they who will be paying the bulk of the bill for all of these asinine and criminal policies. The price will be paid in a number of ways of such as, increased direct taxation, higher rates of inflation, lower living standards than previous generations, fewer opportunities, and less prosperity. All of the actions undertaken today are simply to give the false façade of economic strength and vitality. Printing and spending trillions of dollars will buy you time, and make things look good for a short period of time, but when the bill comes due as it always does, it will be extremely expensive. Younger generations will nearly be forced to demand major structural changes if they are to have a future for themselves and their families. This is just getting underway and will likely be a decades long phenomena before the dust settles. Let us pray that these movements are as peaceful as possible and that equal justice under law and free-market capitalism are adopted. If so, the best days may be ahead of us, if not, then more of the same under a different name. Youth revolts are coming. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Protests #Peace #Inflation #FoodPrices #Commodities #Gold #Silver #Liberty #Leadership #EndTheFed #bananarepublic #FireCongress #Revolution #USA

Ep. 580 – Weekly Wrap Up

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 580 - Weekly Wrap Up
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A discussion about the events that unfolded this week and a very busy week it was. The conclusion of the Derek Chauvin trial, the economic data that came across the wires, and the geopolitical tensions that are rising in all corners of the globe fill our time for today. The intersection of economics, politics, and social issues are coming to a boil globally and the end result is not likely going to be a pretty picture. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Justice #Truth #Inflation #Gold #Silver #Jobs #War #Peace #Liberty #Leadership #USA #bananarepublic #EndTheFed #FireCongress

Ep. 579 – Job Market Distortions + Higher Taxes

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 579 - Job Market Distortions + Higher Taxes
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For the second consecutive week, initial jobless claims came in under 600k to stand at 547,000 for the week ending 17 April. While this figure is below that which was witnessed during the depths of GFC, we cannot forget the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program that was created by the Federal government. This figure came in at 133,319, which means in aggregate, weekly claims were 680,000 – still higher than the GFC, yet trending lower, and that is good news. The prior week was revised higher by 10k to now stand at 586,000. In aggregate, across all forms of unemployment insurance, some 17.4 million Americans continue to claim benefits. This gives us a de facto unemployment rate of 12.5 percent, which is more than double the official unemployment rate of 6.0 percent.

The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet hit another all-time high and now stands at $7.82 trillion, which was a week-over-week increase of $27 billion. The Fed remains committed to their QE program of purchasing at least $120 billion of US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities per month. This will take their balance sheet to at least $8.5 trillion by the end of the year, and The Kapital News is projecting that it will be closer to $10 trillion! For context, their balance sheet was just shy of $900 billion during the GFC. This is nearly a 10x increase in just a little over a decade! And do recall that when QE was announced that it was going to be temporary. This program is a couple of years away from applying for a driver’s license – so much for short-lived. It is important to note this because current Fed members are stating that inflation will only be transitory. The same people who said QE would be temporary are saying the same about inflation – see where we are going with this?

As The Kapital News has been mentioning since we have been online starting in 2019, is to get ready for tax hikes. We were running trillion dollar deficits prior to the pandemic, the subsequent lockdowns, and massive spending programs. It is basic math at the end of the day. We are all for cutting taxes, in fact, we want to see the income tax abolished, along with the Federal Reserve. However, if policymakers are going to cut taxes, then they need to cut spending as well. Only solving for half of the equation is asking for trouble – i.e. large deficits. These deficits bring about the hidden tax of inflation, and now because of the size of our deficits, tax increases are coming. It was only a matter of time, but now the Biden Administration is discussing raising taxes. Their first target is capital gains taxes in a show to target the rich, but make no mistake that they will also be broad-based when the dust settles. We are dealing with a $28.2 trillion national debt. We are on the path to spend nearly $8 trillion this year alone, which gives us a deficit of over $4 trillion! Our deficit alone is higher than all of the tax revenue that is brought in annually, which is currently around $3.5 trillion! How sustainable do you think this is? And unfortunately, there is not much to show for it. So it is another double whammy as usual as we have to contend with the inflation tax and an increase to direct taxation. It should also be stressed that confiscating the entire net worth of the country’s wealthiest individuals would only cover expenses for several months. Point being, we are in a lot of trouble and attempting to tax and spend our way out of it, is not the solution. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Jobs #Inflation #Taxes #Debt #Spending #Gold #Silver #USA #Bailouts #Liberty #Leadership #Justice #Truth #EndTheFed #bananarepublic #FireCongress

Ep. 578 – A World In Chaos

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 578 - A World In Chaos
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In today’s podcast we continue to discuss the Derek Chauvin trial, the conviction, and the political fallout. We then continue with various articles pertaining to geopolitical risks. The focus of these news stories are centered around US and Turkish relations, rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and tensions among Israel, Syria, and Iran. To put it simply, the world is in chaos. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #DerekChauvinTrial #Geopolitics #War #Peace #USA #Israel #Russia #Ukraine #Turkey #China #Iran #Syria #Liberty #Leadership #Justice

Ep. 577 – Trial By Jury or Mob Rule?

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 577 - Trial By Jury or Mob Rule?
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Only a day after closing arguments in the case of Derek Chauvin, the jury rendered their verdict. Guilty on all three charges that were levied against Derek Chauvin. His sentencing hearing will be held about eight weeks from now. The Kapital News is an advocate for justice, peace, truth, and prosperity. If the jury made their decision based on the totality of the evidence, then their decision is to be respected. However, if their decision was rendered due to fear as to what may happen to themselves personally and/or to their city by mob actions should they have acquitted, then this would be a major problem. Of course, if the latter should be the case, we will likely never hear about it.

Nonetheless, The Kapital News is quite concerned with the growing trend of mob rule, media biases, and political grandstanding. True, these things are not new, but the 24/7 news cycle combined with the usage of social media, sets the stage for a lot of misinformation and disinformation. And none of this serves to promote and build a better Republic – quite the contrary. Our justice system is far from perfect and most definitely has many flaws. However, the pillars of our justice system are rooted in a trial by jury, due process, being innocent until proven guilty, right against self-incrimination, burden of proof lying with the State, and an appeals process. These are good things to have and are foundational to building a sound justice system. Yet if the media, politicians, and the general public are already rendering verdicts in the court of public opinion, and continuing to push their narrative despite the totality of evidence that is released throughout a trial, then this country is in a lot of trouble. We imagine many members of our audience would march peacefully to bring changes to the justice system to make it better. But if we should succumb to mob rule, then the foundation upon which our Republic was built, will experience further erosion. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #GeorgeFloyd #DerekChauvinTrial #Peace #NoJusticeNoPeace #Protests #Justice #Truth #USA #Liberty #Economy #FireCongress

Ep. 576 – No Justice, No Peace

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 576 - No Justice, No Peace
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The closing arguments concluded today in the case of Derek Chauvin, the former police officer, who is on trial for the death of George Floyd. This event, which made global headlines last year was the cause for worldwide protests and riots. As the case is now in the hands of the jury, cities across the country are preparing for more riots and civil unrest.

The Kapital News full-heartedly supports the right of the people to protest peacefully. The Kapital News would even come to the defense of people and organizations to peacefully protest, despite disagreeing with their ideas, message, or principles. Why? Because we have rights as free citizens and these rights need to be defended and protected. It is not about simply agreeing with those who share common ground, but also defending the rights of those with whom you may disagree. Liberty is very much about tolerance and tolerance does not mean endorsement.

However, peacefully protesting and rioting are two completely different acts. The latter of which cannot be tolerated. The destruction to property and the physical harm caused to persons is against the law and needs to be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. Otherwise, we risk succumbing to mob rule. We witnessed a countless number of businesses, coast to coast, last year being damaged, burned, and looted. And for what purpose? Does this end our two-tiered justice system? Does this bring George Floyd or anybody else back to their families? No and no! There are many problems that exist within our society and a two-tiered justice system is definitely one of them. There is a legitimate foundation where we can begin to have a civil and constructive dialogue on how to improve our justice system. Yet so long as it becomes about race, media narratives, money raising, and political grandstanding, then not a damn thing is going to be done to solve the problems.

Enter Congresswoman Maxine Waters, a Democrat from California, who is calling for confrontations with the the authorities if Derek Chauvin is acquitted or found guilty of manslaughter. The manslaughter charge will not suffice to the Congresswoman or to the people she is getting wound up. In the very least, it needs to be a conviction on one of the murder charges against Mr. Chauvin. This is the same woman who decried what President Trump did and was calling for his impeachment almost as soon as he was sworn into office. However, it is apparently okay for her to say such things? The hypocrisy is nauseating, but it is also par for the course. As long as the actions and rhetoric fit the narrative spun by the media, then presumably all is well. But if you are a conservative, then you better watch out.

Lastly, for now, one of the main messages that has been transmitted since this incident occurred, was the media and many others declaring Mr. Chauvin guilty, well before his trial. This is dangerous to our society and body politic. There is no question that what took place was a tragic occurrence. However, we have a system that states any individual is innocent until proven guilty. And that the burden of proof is on the State, not the defense. Furthermore, in a criminal case, the State must prove their case beyond a reasonable doubt. This is a high bar, and rightly so. Our Founders understood the importance of due process. They understood the power of the State. And they understood the importance and value of life and liberty. Imprisoning someone takes away their rights, and so the State better be quite certain that they are prosecuting the right person, because it is a bigger crime to convict an innocent person than it is to let a guilty one go free. It is this discussion that is missing in the mainstream media. It is not about the totality of the evidence, due process, and our Constitution. Rather, it is about the media hype, the politics, and the money. And in this noise and drama we lose ourselves as a country. May God be with the jury as they render their verdict and may their decision be based off of the evidence of the case, and not rooted in fear as to what the mob may or may not do. May justice be served and may there be peace. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #GeorgeFloyd #NoJusticeNoPeace #ChauvinTrial #Protests #Riots #USA #Liberty #USConstitution #Justice #Peace #Truth

Ep. 575 – Initial Claims Below GFC, Gov’t Fuels Retail

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 575 - Initial Claims Below GFC, Gov't Fuels Retail
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Initial jobless claims for regular state unemployment benefits finally came in below the levels seen during the depths of the GFC, with a number of 576,000 for the week ending 10 April. The prior week was revised upward by 25,000 to now stand at 769,000. However, it must also be understood that since the pandemic and the subsequent lockdowns, the Congress passed the Nobody CARES Act, which created the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program that allows people who would normally not qualify for regular state aid to file a claim. This number came in at 132,000, which in aggregate takes us north of 700,000 initial jobless claims. So still not entirely below the GFC levels, but trending that way and hopefully that continues. However, The Kapital News remains highly skeptical as printing, borrowing, and spending this money is not real economic growth or productivity. This means we have be living off of a temporary “high” from such fiscal and monetary measures that could lead to further economic deterioration.

Other economic news released today pertained to US retail sales, which came in well above market expectations with a print of 9.8 percent month-over-month. The prior month was revised downward to -2.7 percent. This data has been tracking very closely with the money handed out by the government. January saw a nice increase due to stimulus checks, February saw the drawdown referenced above, and March saw the big jump, most likely due to a combination of stimulus checks and tax refunds. Should this trend continue, then absent some further government money, retail sales will likely cool off. However, it should be noted that government money will be sent out to people with children. And it should be stressed that by government money, we mean US taxpayer money.

The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has hit a new all-time high to now stand at $7.79 trillion! A week-over-week increase of some $80 billion. The Fed remains committed to their QE policy of purchasing a minimum of $120 billion per month of US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. The Fed continues with such a policy with respect to MBS, despite housing prices at all-time highs. At a minimum, the balance sheet will likely hit $8.5 trillion by the end of the year, and could be closer to $10 trillion, should fiscal and monetary authorities take further action in the markets. For context, prior to the GFC, their balance sheet was around $900 billion.

Lastly, Chinese economic data coming across the wires shows GDP for Q1 year-over-year grew by 18.3 percent. Despite such a large increase, this was below market expectations that were closer to 19 percent. Further, Chinese residential real estate prices grew by 4.6 percent year-over-year. Earlier this year, Chinese regulators noted that their real estate market was likely in a bubble. This recent data appears to indicate that this continues to be the case. The regulators were also pointing fingers at the US and European economies, and stating that these economies were also in bubbles. Essentially setting the stage to blame the US and European nations should there be any weakness in the economy and/or financial system. With all of the fiscal and monetary actions that have been conducted throughout 2020 and continuing to today and beyond has placed the global economy on even shakier ground, thus making the global system that much more fragile and susceptible to shocks. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Jobs #Inflation #USA #China #Liberty #Gold #Silver #Debt #Spending #Bailouts #Leadership #EndTheFed #bananarepublic #FireCongress #Fraud

Ep. 572 – Markets Overnight, Jay Powell Speaks

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 572 - Markets Overnight, Jay Powell Speaks
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Another softball interview conducted by 60 Minutes, where they once again interviewed the Chair of the Federal Reserve, Jay Powell. A lot has transpired since they last spoke with the Fed Chair nearly one year ago, and one would think that there would be some hard-hitting questions. This was unfortunately not the case. There are some very common sensical questions that could have and should have been asked. These questions would have been respectful and reasonable to ask, but they were non-existent. Instead, it was a platform given to the Federal Reserve to continue to spew their propaganda and ever-changing narrative to fit their purpose. The American people deserve better than this from their media. A healthy and successful Republic requires an informed electorate and the media is to serve as the 4th branch of government to achieve this end. Instead, the media is more of a lapdog for our government and major institutions as opposed to the constant skeptic they are supposed to be. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Inflaion #Debt #FederalReserve #EndTheFed #USA #Liberty #Leadership #bananarepublic #FireCongress

Ep. 570 – Uncle Sam’s Debt Is Junk

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 570 - Uncle Sam's Debt Is Junk
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We say it on a near daily basis when covering market performance, and that is calling out Uncle Sam’s debt as junk. It is not said to be facetious or to act as a wise-guy, but rather to admit reality. Currently, junk bond or high yielding debt is trading near all-time lows and is trending lower. Meanwhile, the US 10 year note and 30 year bond, are trending higher. There has never been a time when these yields have converged and rightly so. US debt is supposed to be risk-free, whereas junk bonds are called junk because there are several inherent and obvious risks. The higher the yield, the higher the chance of default. During the GFC, high yield hit nearly 23 percent! This was an example of markets functioning in attempts to accurately price risk. Well not this time. While it is true that yields spiked during the onset of the pandemic, rising to over 11 percent, they quickly came back down. The reason was because of fiscal and monetary measures. Emphasis given to monetary measures, because the Federal Reserve created various emergency facilities to purchase corporate debt and they did. Not only did the Fed purchase corporate debt on the secondary market, they also purchased it directly from the companies themselves in the primary market. Many of these companies were far from being junk rated as some were the largest firms in the world. So not only did the Fed purchase US corporate debt, but also foreign corporate debt!

By undertaking such measures, the Fed also sent the signal to the markets that they will be there to cushion and even perhaps prevent, any sort of further sell-off in the corporate debt market. What this then translates into is comfort and confidence of investors to get back into the game because they believe they have an insurance policy from the Fed. That is to say that should corporate bonds sell-off again, the Fed will purchase them and make the investors whole or at least lessen their losses. This goes completely against the Fed’s charter and any semblance of free-market functioning. This also goes against logic, because it can be argued that this economic lockdown was worse than the GFC and many economic variables conclude as much. Thus junk bond yields should be much higher. However, they are not due to the centrally planned actions undertaken by the Federal Reserve.

All of this has thus led to junk bond yields being at record lows. Should this downward trend continue in concert with rising US government debt yields, they may very well converge, although not likely. At this juncture there will be no denying that Uncle Sam’s debt is junk. It is important to stress that the Treasury market and corporate debt markets, along with others, are being greatly manipulated due to these policies. This in turn creates great distortionary effects and one of the biggest and most problematic is the mispricing of risk. In essence, without such policy interference, yields on Treasuries and corporate debt would likely be much higher. Furthermore, the spread in yields is tightening even as we have Fitch Ratings issuing a note forecasting a wave of bankruptcies across 2021 and 2022 as fiscal and monetary measures are scaled back. So understand that we have added trillions of dollars to our national debt, our trade deficits are at record highs, and we are still going to have to contend with a countless number of bankruptcies and insolvencies. Then what was the purpose of all of this money spending, borrowing, and printing if we still have such economic devastation on the horizon? These actions, coupled with these yield spreads tightening, and several other data points are indicative of a system that is nearing exhaustion. Policymakers understand the extent of their Ponzi scheme better than anyone and thus we are witnessing one extreme policy after the next to keep it all afloat for as long as they can. But remember, they cannot keep it going forever, and the longer they do, the bigger the fall and negative consequences. Abuses of power and billions and trillions of dollars are stolen right in front of our faces, and nothing is done about it to stop this madness. We need to wake up and we need to wake up now! Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Debt #Inflation #USA #FoodPrices #Liberty #Protests #Revolution #EndTheFed #Leadership #bananarepublic #FireCongress #JunkBonds

Ep. 569 – US Taxpayers Bailout The World

The Kapital News
The Kapital News
Ep. 569 - US Taxpayers Bailout The World
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Whether it is the trillions upon trillions of dollars that are being spent by Uncle Sam and printed by the Federal Reserve, or the $650 billion that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, just gave to the IMF, one thing is certain, and that is the American taxpayer is paying the bill. Now the US taxpayer is not the only group that will be feeling the consequences of such reckless policy. Instead it will be millions, if not billions of people the world over. They will feel the effects via inflation. Many poorer and middle-income nations are already contending with the destructive nature of inflation. Most notably for these countries is the price of food, energy, medicines, and other living necessities. Such cost increases are in turn leading to political and social unrest. This trend is likely to continue. However, The Kapital News would like to note that there may be a delay as to when some of these protests and riots gather more steam and traction. This is potentially due to the $650 billion that was given to the IMF to assist such countries with their ailing and failing economies. They are on the verge of defaulting on their debts, which in turn would have caused further problems, thus creating a vicious-cycle for these countries, which would likely manifest itself with people protesting and rioting. The $650 billion, buys some time. Furthermore, with our reckless spending, is leading to record trade deficits. That is to say we are importing more than we are exporting at record levels. This signifies that our spending is leading to increasing production levels in other countries. If we were producing such goods, then we would not need to import them to such a degree. So understand simply, the US produces dollars, and the world is producing goods. How long will this continue?

The Kapital News has also been informing our audience of further fiscal policy measures amounting to trillions of dollars before 2021 even got started and prior to the election of now President, Joe Biden. It would not have made much of a difference as to whom is the President, as further spending was coming regardless. Nonetheless, the new infrastructure bill has gained some parliamentarian clearance to be passed, at least in part, via budget reconciliation. This is where a simple majority in the Senate, 51 votes, is enough to pass the legislation. In this instance, as was the case for the Nobody CARES Act 3.0 worth $1.9 trillion, VP Kamala Harris would be the tie-breaking vote, assuming this falls on party lines. This determination by the Senate parliamentarian does not mean that this bill will pass quickly. There are a few Senate Democrats who are not huge fans of the current bill, and they also come from more conservative states. Therefore, it is very likely that these Senators will leverage this to gain extra funds to their states in order to look the other way with their objections and then ultimately pass the bill. When it is all said and done, trillions more in spending will be appropriated throughout the remainder of 2021 and perhaps beyond.

A recent report released by Fitch Ratings, one of the major corporate credit rating agencies within the United States, is issuing a warning with respect to bankruptcies. The agency rightly claims that the level of bankruptcies that occurred throughout 2020 was well below what would have been expected and historically experienced in past recessions. They also correctly note that this anomaly occurred due to the unprecedented monetary and fiscal policy actions that were implemented. However, Fitch remarks that once these fiscal and monetary supports are removed, forbearances and moratoriums lifted or scaled back, that “bankruptcies will rise, potentially significantly.” Their projections are for both 2021 and 2022. This is a very damning report and rebuke of said monetary and fiscal policies. What this in effect means, is exactly what The Kapital News has been saying since last year, and that is all of the trillions in spending, borrowing, and printing will have been only to kick the can down the road. In other words, nothing structural has been resolved. You may be able to print dollars, but you cannot print solvency. Most of the damage is believed to be experienced by small and medium sized firms, which will further the consolidation process by larger corporations. One of the direct results of extraordinary and reckless fiscal and monetary decisions, has been the “zombification” of the economy. At recent count, nearly 25 percent or 1-in-4 businesses in the US are classified as zombies. This is the economy of the living dead, and if Fitch Ratings is correct, then some of these zombies may be going out of business for good. There are still a ton of risks and headwinds staring us in the face and coming down the pike. Money printers and stimulus checks will not solve these problems. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Bailouts #Inflation #Debt #USA #Liberty #Leadership #FoodPrices #Gold #Silver #Commodities #Oil #EndTheFed #bananarepublic #FireCongress #Protests #Bubbles #Fraud