Happy New Year from The Kapital News! Many of the stories that we have been covering in 2019 will likely continue throughout much of 2020 if not continue well beyond. For instance, the global protests that are taking place will have effects that will be felt for years to come. On the economic front, the massive liquidity injections by global central banks will have countless negative ramifications for the masses and this too will likely last for years if not generations. All of this, in addition to the US 2020 Presidential election, will have massive political implications. Frequently countries will find themselves at a crossroads and this election year is no different, except for the fact that so much of our future is at stake. What kind of country do we want? One of market manipulation and a Presidential Administration hyping materialism or one rooted in truth and justice, liberty, and free-market capitalism? The answer should be an easy one. However, we live in a society where this choice is not easily evident. Reminds me a line from a Pink Floyd song, “so you think you can tell, heaven from hell?” The truth should be clear and while it may not be the easy route, it is the one we should always take. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Politics #Truth #Peace #Justice #Freedom #Republic #EndTheFed
Merry Christmas! from The Kapital News. Today, we have a brief discussion on recent news events and how they’re likely to playout as we make our way into a new year and a new decade in 2020. Merry Christmas and enjoy the holidays! Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Christmas #Peace #Truth
Reviewing a list of 20 market risks for 2020 was the focus of today’s discussion. The list of concerns was created by Deutsche Bank and much of the points are topics that The Kapital News has been discussing for quite awhile. There is much uncertainty that remains, from trade deals, to global protests, to Brexit, to Middle East tensions, to political elections, central bank policies, and much more. The year 2019 saw a big return when it came to US equity markets, (which made new all-time highs again today), this came on the back of massive amounts of liquidity provided by the Federal Reserve and other central banks, massive debt issuance by corporations and the US government, misleading trade deal headlines by President Trump and his Administration, and many others. In short, the markets were propped up by easy money and $1 trillion deficit spending. This is a far-far cry from the “greatest” economy ever in the history of the United States. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Economy #Recession #EndTheFed #Debt #Politics #Peace #Truth #Justice
Ep. 118B - Cass Freight Index Predicts Negative GDP
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Despite the fact that the Federal Reserve was out yesterday providing their GDP forecasts for 2019 and 2020, 2.2% and 2% respectively, the Cass Freight Index report says otherwise. In their August report, the Cass Freight Index, which is seen by many analysts as a reliable leading indicator, is stating that given both lower freight volumes and prices, GDP is likely to turn negative by the end of 2019. August marks the ninth month in a row of negative YoY growth for the index. Citing the global slowdown and the ongoing trade war between the US and China, the report notes that the headwinds abroad are making their way to the US. Consistent with what we discuss here on a daily basis at The Kapital News, the transportation sector is a simple, yet reliable leading indicator – which is why we highlight the price action of the Dow Jones Transportation Average. The Cass Freight Index, in agreement with the DJT, is showing a disconnect/divergence between the major indexes and the broader economy. The question remains, will the transports play a game of “catch-up” and make or near all-time highs, or will the major indexes reverse course, which could make for a sizable correction? It’s anyone’s guess, but the major indexes are approaching strong resistance levels as they near all-time highs. In other news, the President is mired in another political/legal situation where a whistleblower appears to be claiming that the President made very concerning comments to a foreign leader. Facts are clearly lacking as this is a new story and pertains to perhaps highly classified information, but what the reports are claiming is that the foreign country in question is, Ukraine. This story is sure to be the focus of the Democrats for some time and will lead to more divisiveness until their is a conclusion – and who knows when that will be? We just want the truth to be known and for justice to be served, regardless of the parties involved. Stay diversified, stay vigilant, and stay with The Kapital News. #Recession #Economy #Justice #Truth #EndTheFed #Politics #WakeUpAmerica #Peace